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177 lines
14 KiB
177 lines
14 KiB
任务指令
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供应链韧性与盈利质量联动
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[[假设]]供应链韧性强（如供应商分散度合理、核心原材料库存周转稳定、供应链中断风险低）的公司，在行业波动或外部冲击下更能维持生产经营连续性，盈利稳定性与可持续性更优，长期可获得超额收益，建议对这类公司建立多头仓位；反之，供应链脆弱（供应商集中度高、库存周转紊乱、中断风险高）的公司，盈利波动风险大，建议建立空头仓位。
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[[实施方案]]分析供应链相关核心指标的时序变化趋势，筛选过去 18 个月供应商分散度处于合理区间、核心原材料库存周转率波动幅度低于阈值、供应链中断预警信号为阴性的公司，构建多头组合；同时筛选供应商集中度持续攀升、库存周转率大幅波动、出现供应链中断预警信号的公司，构建空头组合，通过时序算子捕捉指标趋势变化，规避短期噪音干扰。
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[[阿尔法因子优化建议]]不同行业供应链结构差异显著（如制造业与服务业供应链依赖度不同），采用行业中性化处理能否提升策略适配性？此外，供应链韧性与盈利质量的关联性可能受宏观环境（如物流成本、贸易政策）影响，引入宏观因子调节算子，动态调整因子权重，是否可增强策略抗周期能力？
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*=========================================================================================*
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输出格式：
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输出必须是且仅是纯文本。
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每一行是一个完整、独立、语法正确的WebSim表达式。
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严禁任何形式的解释、编号、标点包裹（如引号）、Markdown格式或额外文本。
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===================== !!! 重点(输出方式) !!! =====================
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现在，请严格遵守以上所有规则，开始生成可立即在WebSim中运行的复合因子表达式。
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**输出格式**(一行一个表达式, 每个表达式中间需要添加一个空行, 只要表达式本身, 不需要赋值, 不要解释, 不需要序号, 也不要输出多余的东西)：
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表达式
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表达式
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表达式
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...
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表达式
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=================================================================
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重申：请确保所有表达式都使用WorldQuant WebSim平台函数，不要使用pandas、numpy或其他Python库函数。输出必须是一行有效的WQ表达式。
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以下是我的账号有权限使用的操作符, 请严格按照操作符, 以及我提供的数据集, 进行生成,组合 20 个alpha：
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以下是我的账号有权限使用的操作符, 请严格按照操作符, 进行生成,组合因子
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========================= 操作符开始 =======================================注意: Operator: 后面的是操作符,
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Description: 此字段后面的是操作符对应的描述或使用说明, Description字段后面的内容是使用说明, 不是操作符
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特别注意!!!! 必须按照操作符字段Operator的使用说明生成 alphaOperator: abs(x)
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Description: Absolute value of x
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Operator: add(x, y, filter = false)
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Description: Add all inputs (at least 2 inputs required). If filter = true, filter all input NaN to 0 before adding
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Operator: densify(x)
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Description: Converts a grouping field of many buckets into lesser number of only available buckets so as to make working with grouping fields computationally efficient
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Operator: divide(x, y)
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Description: x / y
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Operator: inverse(x)
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Description: 1 / x
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Operator: log(x)
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Description: Natural logarithm. For example: Log(high/low) uses natural logarithm of high/low ratio as stock weights.
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Operator: max(x, y, ..)
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Description: Maximum value of all inputs. At least 2 inputs are required
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Operator: min(x, y ..)
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Description: Minimum value of all inputs. At least 2 inputs are required
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Operator: multiply(x ,y, ... , filter=false)
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Description: Multiply all inputs. At least 2 inputs are required. Filter sets the NaN values to 1
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Operator: power(x, y)
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Description: x ^ y
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Operator: reverse(x)
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Description: - x
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Operator: sign(x)
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Description: if input > 0, return 1; if input < 0, return -1; if input = 0, return 0; if input = NaN, return NaN;
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Operator: signed_power(x, y)
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Description: x raised to the power of y such that final result preserves sign of x
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Operator: sqrt(x)
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Description: Square root of x
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Operator: subtract(x, y, filter=false)
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Description: x-y. If filter = true, filter all input NaN to 0 before subtracting
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Operator: and(input1, input2)
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Description: Logical AND operator, returns true if both operands are true and returns false otherwise
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Operator: if_else(input1, input2, input 3)
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Description: If input1 is true then return input2 else return input3.
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Operator: input1 < input2
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Description: If input1 < input2 return true, else return false
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Operator: input1 <= input2
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Description: Returns true if input1 <= input2, return false otherwise
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Operator: input1 == input2
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Description: Returns true if both inputs are same and returns false otherwise
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Operator: input1 > input2
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Description: Logic comparison operators to compares two inputs
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Operator: input1 >= input2
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Description: Returns true if input1 >= input2, return false otherwise
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Operator: input1!= input2
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Description: Returns true if both inputs are NOT the same and returns false otherwise
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Operator: is_nan(input)
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Description: If (input == NaN) return 1 else return 0
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Operator: not(x)
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Description: Returns the logical negation of x. If x is true (1), it returns false (0), and if input is false (0), it returns true (1).
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Operator: or(input1, input2)
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Description: Logical OR operator returns true if either or both inputs are true and returns false otherwise
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Operator: days_from_last_change(x)
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Description: Amount of days since last change of x
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Operator: hump(x, hump = 0.01)
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Description: Limits amount and magnitude of changes in input (thus reducing turnover)
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Operator: kth_element(x, d, k)
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Description: Returns K-th value of input by looking through lookback days. This operator can be used to backfill missing data if k=1
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Operator: last_diff_value(x, d)
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Description: Returns last x value not equal to current x value from last d days
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Operator: ts_arg_max(x, d)
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Description: Returns the relative index of the max value in the time series for the past d days. If the current day has the max value for the past d days, it returns 0. If previous day has the max value for the past d days, it returns 1
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Operator: ts_arg_min(x, d)
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Description: Returns the relative index of the min value in the time series for the past d days; If the current day has the min value for the past d days, it returns 0; If previous day has the min value for the past d days, it returns 1.
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Operator: ts_av_diff(x, d)
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Description: Returns x - tsmean(x, d), but deals with NaNs carefully. That is NaNs are ignored during mean computation
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Operator: ts_backfill(x,lookback = d, k=1, ignore="NAN")
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Description: Backfill is the process of replacing the NAN or 0 values by a meaningful value (i.e., a first non-NaN value)
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Operator: ts_corr(x, y, d)
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Description: Returns correlation of x and y for the past d days
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Operator: ts_count_nans(x ,d)
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Description: Returns the number of NaN values in x for the past d days
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Operator: ts_covariance(y, x, d)
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Description: Returns covariance of y and x for the past d days
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Operator: ts_decay_linear(x, d, dense = false)
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Description: Returns the linear decay on x for the past d days. Dense parameter=false means operator works in sparse mode and we treat NaN as 0. In dense mode we do not.
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Operator: ts_delay(x, d)
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Description: Returns x value d days ago
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Operator: ts_delta(x, d)
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Description: Returns x - ts_delay(x, d)
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Operator: ts_mean(x, d)
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Description: Returns average value of x for the past d days.
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Operator: ts_product(x, d)
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Description: Returns product of x for the past d days
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Operator: ts_quantile(x,d, driver="gaussian" )
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Description: It calculates ts_rank and apply to its value an inverse cumulative density function from driver distribution. Possible values of driver (optional ) are "gaussian", "uniform", "cauchy" distribution where "gaussian" is the default.
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Operator: ts_rank(x, d, constant = 0)
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Description: Rank the values of x for each instrument over the past d days, then return the rank of the current value + constant. If not specified, by default, constant = 0.
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Operator: ts_regression(y, x, d, lag = 0, rettype = 0)
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Description: Returns various parameters related to regression function
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Operator: ts_scale(x, d, constant = 0)
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Description: Returns (x - ts_min(x, d)) / (ts_max(x, d) - ts_min(x, d)) + constant. This operator is similar to scale down operator but acts in time series space
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Operator: ts_std_dev(x, d)
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Description: Returns standard deviation of x for the past d days
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Operator: ts_step(1)
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Description: Returns days' counter
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Operator: ts_sum(x, d)
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Description: Sum values of x for the past d days.
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Operator: ts_zscore(x, d)
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Description: Z-score is a numerical measurement that describes a value's relationship to the mean of a group of values. Z-score is measured in terms of standard deviations from the mean: (x - tsmean(x,d)) / tsstddev(x,d). This operator may help reduce outliers and drawdown.
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Operator: normalize(x, useStd = false, limit = 0.0)
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Description: Calculates the mean value of all valid alpha values for a certain date, then subtracts that mean from each element
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Operator: quantile(x, driver = gaussian, sigma = 1.0)
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Description: Rank the raw vector, shift the ranked Alpha vector, apply distribution (gaussian, cauchy, uniform). If driver is uniform, it simply subtract each Alpha value with the mean of all Alpha values in the Alpha vector
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Operator: rank(x, rate=2)
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Description: Ranks the input among all the instruments and returns an equally distributed number between 0.0 and 1.0. For precise sort, use the rate as 0
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Operator: scale(x, scale=1, longscale=1, shortscale=1)
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Description: Scales input to booksize. We can also scale the long positions and short positions to separate scales by mentioning additional parameters to the operator
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Operator: winsorize(x, std=4)
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Description: Winsorizes x to make sure that all values in x are between the lower and upper limits, which are specified as multiple of std.
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Operator: zscore(x)
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Description: Z-score is a numerical measurement that describes a value's relationship to the mean of a group of values. Z-score is measured in terms of standard deviations from the mean
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Operator: vec_avg(x)
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Description: Taking mean of the vector field x
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Operator: vec_sum(x)
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Description: Sum of vector field x
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Operator: bucket(rank(x), range="0, 1, 0.1" or buckets = "2,5,6,7,10")
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Description: Convert float values into indexes for user-specified buckets. Bucket is useful for creating group values, which can be passed to GROUP as input
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Operator: trade_when(x, y, z)
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Description: Used in order to change Alpha values only under a specified condition and to hold Alpha values in other cases. It also allows to close Alpha positions (assign NaN values) under a specified condition
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Operator: group_backfill(x, group, d, std = 4.0)
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Description: If a certain value for a certain date and instrument is NaN, from the set of same group instruments, calculate winsorized mean of all non-NaN values over last d days
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Operator: group_mean(x, weight, group)
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Description: All elements in group equals to the mean
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Operator: group_neutralize(x, group)
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Description: Neutralizes Alpha against groups. These groups can be subindustry, industry, sector, country or a constant
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Operator: group_rank(x, group)
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Description: Each elements in a group is assigned the corresponding rank in this group
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Operator: group_scale(x, group)
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Description: Normalizes the values in a group to be between 0 and 1. (x - groupmin) / (groupmax - groupmin)
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Operator: group_zscore(x, group)
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Description: Calculates group Z-score - numerical measurement that describes a value's relationship to the mean of a group of values. Z-score is measured in terms of standard deviations from the mean. zscore = (data - mean) / stddev of x for each instrument within its group.
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========================= 操作符结束 =======================================
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========================= 数据字段开始 =======================================
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注意: data_set_name: 后面的是数据字段(可以使用), description: 此字段后面的是数据字段对应的描述或使用说明(不能使用), description_cn字段后面的内容是中文使用说明(不能使用)
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{'id': '517', 'data_set_name': 'fnd6_newqeventv110_glceaq', 'description': 'Gain/Loss on Sale (Core Earnings Adjusted) After-tax', 'description_cn': '税后核心 earnings 润亏'}
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{'id': '624', 'data_set_name': 'fnd6_newqeventv110_spcedq', 'description': 'S&P Core Earnings EPS Diluted', 'description_cn': 'SPCE earnings per share diluted'}
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{'id': '625', 'data_set_name': 'fnd6_newqeventv110_spceeps12', 'description': 'S&P Core Earnings EPS Basic 12MM', 'description_cn': '标普核心 earnings 每股基本值_12M'}
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{'id': '628', 'data_set_name': 'fnd6_newqeventv110_spceepsq', 'description': 'S&P Core Earnings EPS Basic', 'description_cn': '标普核心 earnings 每股基本值'}
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{'id': '629', 'data_set_name': 'fnd6_newqeventv110_spcep12', 'description': 'S&P Core Earnings 12MM - Preliminary', 'description_cn': '标普核心 earnings 12个月 - 预liminary'}
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{'id': '630', 'data_set_name': 'fnd6_newqeventv110_spcepd12', 'description': 'S&P Core Earnings 12MM EPS Diluted - Preliminary', 'description_cn': 'S&P核心 earnings_12个月稀释后每股盈亏平衡点_初步'}
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{'id': '774', 'data_set_name': 'fnd6_newqv1300_spcedq', 'description': 'S&P Core Earnings EPS Diluted', 'description_cn': '标准普尔核心 earnings 每股稀释后利润'}
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{'id': '777', 'data_set_name': 'fnd6_newqv1300_spceepsq', 'description': 'S&P Core Earnings EPS Basic', 'description_cn': '标普核心 earnings EPS 基本'}
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{'id': '872', 'data_set_name': 'fnd6_spce', 'description': 'S&P Core Earnings', 'description_cn': '标准普尔核心 earnings'}
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{'id': '2356', 'data_set_name': 'fn_comp_not_rec_stock_options_a', 'description': 'Unrecognized cost of unvested stock option awards.', 'description_cn': '未行权股票期权 unrecognized_cost_of_unvested_stock_options'}
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{'id': '2357', 'data_set_name': 'fn_comp_not_rec_stock_options_q', 'description': 'Unrecognized cost of unvested stock option awards.', 'description_cn': '未行权股票期权 unrecognized_cost_of_unvested_stock_options'}
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========================= 数据字段结束 =======================================
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以上数据字段和操作符, 按照Description说明组合, 但是每一个 alpha 组合的使用的数据字段和操作符不要过于集中, 在符合语法的情况下, 多尝试不同的组合 |